Matt Gunterman November 25th, 2007
James R. Carroll has some tidbits of interest in his “Notes from Washington” in the Courier-Journal this Sunday.
First up: Rep. Hal Rogers (R) is in deep denial, just like Sen. Mitch McConnell (R). As I pointed out here at DitchMitchKY back in August, at Fancy Farm this year McConnell was bashing Sen. Hillary Clinton (D) and using her presumed unpopularity in Kentucky to justify his belief that 2008 wouldn’t be bad for Republicans at all in the state is she were at the top of the Democratic ticket. As I pointed out then, the Survey USA presidential match-up polls for Kentucky showed Clinton defeating every potential Republican candidate at the time.
Well, it appears that Rep. Hal Rogers (R) is working under the same assumption about Clinton’s potential and popularity in Kentucky. From Carroll:
[...]
Political analysts see the GOP retirements as a sign that many Republicans believe their status as the minority party could be lengthy.
Rogers is not of that view.
More Republicans have retired in previous elections, he said.
“We feel good,” Rogers said of House Republicans. “We feel we’re doing some good things. We think next year may not be all that bad.”
A presidential election brings out voters who don’t otherwise vote in congressional races, and that can help the GOP, Rogers said.
The Democratic presidential nominee is likely to be Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., “and that will be good for us,” he said.
[...]
###
The times have changed in Kentucky. This isn’t 1994, when then First Lady Hillary Clinton was burned in effigy in Owensboro, Kentucky [with Rep. Ron Lewis (R) looking on in approval].
This is 2008 we’re talking about here, and it’s a whole other ballgame.
Second juicy piece from Carroll’s piece is this from the Club for Growth:
[...]
As you know, from time to time we offer ratings of lawmakers from groups across the ideological spectrum. This week we have ratings from the conservative Club for Growth.
The group has put out 2007 House and Senate “RePORK” cards. Lawmakers were rated on whether they supported what the Club for Growth viewed as anti-pork measures. The lower the lawmaker’s score, the more “porky” they are considered.
Only four senators scored what the group considered perfect 100 percent ratings. Sen. Jim Bunning, R-Ky., was given an 87 percent, and McConnell got a 53 percent.
[...]
As Joe Sonka would say, “Calling Larry Forgy!”
UPDATE via Sonka: Matt’s words are backed up again by the SUSA poll #’s released yesterday. In head-to-head matchups Hillary Clinton beats ALL Republican challengers. Every damned one of them
Giuliani (R) 44 (45)
Clinton (D) 48 (47)
Romney (R) 39 (41)
Clinton (D) 54 (50)
Huckabee (R) 36 (39)
Clinton (D) 55 (49)
McCain (R) 47 (49)
Clinton (D) 48 (45)
Good luck with that anti-Hillary strategy, Rogers/McConnell.