Archive for the 'Gubernatorial race '07' Category

He Didn’t Win That Either, Sen. McConnell

Terri Whitehouse November 7th, 2007

Regarding Gov. Ernie Fletcher’s defeat, Sen. Mitch McConnell says:

Ernie Fletcher ran a hard-fought campaign that showed a deep commitment to the Commonwealth and to the principles that propelled him into office four years ago. He lost the race, but won our respect by fighting hard to build on the achievements of his term — achievements that will benefit Kentucky for many years to come.

You respect bigots, Sen. McConnell? Do you even believe your own lies any more?

H/T: PolWatchers

Here we go! Kentucky map updates.

Matt Gunterman November 6th, 2007

kentucky-gov-200714.jpg

19.15: I will probably wait until later in the night to do the map of the secretary of state race. Depends on how hectic things are.

20.45: Beshear doing EXTREMELY well so far in western Kentucky, which is arguably the state’s most socially conservative region. Gay-baiting didn’t work here, it appears. Troubling sign for Sen. Mitch McConnell (R) next year?

21.00: Ladies and gentleman, one image is striking fear into the heart of Mitch McConnell tonight, and it’s western Kentucky going dark, dark blue.

21.30: Ernie Fletcher did best where Republicans hate Mitch McConnell the most.

21.45: I am going to get some nachos and salsa. And I am going to chill for a bit and soak it all it. Good stuff. Good, good stuff.

21.55: Waiting on Henderson County to report. Should go dark blue.

22.10: Henderson County reports. That’s all she wrote.

22.15: What did we learn tonight? Kentuckians are thinking hard about their votes. That’s bad news for Mitch McConnell.

Soon-to-be Gov. Steve Beshear can transform how the world sees Kentucky and how Kentuckians see themselves

Matt Gunterman November 5th, 2007

Yesterday morning a German friend emailed me to say that The New York Times Sunday travel section was running a feature on the finer qualities of bourbon and bluegrass in Kentucky.

He’s read much about Kentucky lately, and it’s intriguing him. Just last week, both the London-based Guardian newspaper and The American Prospect magazine ran pieces on the growth of progressive culture and politics in Kentucky. These follow in the wake of Bob Moser’s monumental cover story on Kentucky for The Nation in September.

When Terence Samuel, who authored the Guardian and TAP articles, interviewed me, he made the comment, “Everyone’s talking about Kentucky.”

People around the world are talking about Kentucky because — right here, right now — Kentuckians are offering them hope. In us they see the potential that the American spirit that has inspired so many generations of the past is finally awakening and is ready to take on the wicked specter that is the creation of hate- and fear-mongers like Pres. George W. Bush (R), Sen. Mitch McConnell (R), Gov. Ernie Fletcher (R), and Rep. Stan Lee (R).

They see it in the workers who are out canvassing neighborhoods today. They see it in the peace demonstrators who are agitating to end a senseless war. They see it in the families who are fighting for their children’s health care. They see it in the crusade to protect and restore our environment. They see it in people of faith who are standing up to the bigots and bullies who have dominated Kentucky pulpits for too long.

The evidence is all around that something is happening in Kentucky, and the world is hungry for that something to be a people who are innovative, bold, tolerant, and progressive.

There is not a thing about McConnell, Fletcher, or Lee that’s any of those things. They are instead calculating, rigid, bullying, and conservative.

Soon-to-be Governor-elect Steve Beshear (D) will have the opportunity to communicate to the world what the new Kentucky is all about.

Ernie Fletcher saw “selling” Kentucky as a mere re-branding exercise. Nothing of the substance changed, and the discerning public could see through that. Fletcher’s take on “unbridled spirit” was anything but.

But Beshear can change the substance because he is not beholden to the baser elements of Kentucky society; his opponent will win the vote of every sort of bigot our state has to offer. With Kentucky’s urban center of Louisville poised to enter a sort of renaissance (barring the next Bush recession undermining its growth), Kentucky can become part of a new face for the United States to the rest of the world, one that is dynamic and provocative, welcoming and welcomed.

Kentucky can’t move forward on jobs, education, or other quality of life issues if it doesn’t tackle those elements of its culture that are holding the state back, and Beshear is well positioned to change the conversation and move down a different path.

Al Cross: McConnell has “managed to alienate two elements of his own party”

Matt Gunterman November 4th, 2007

Two more days until Democratic Christmas this year: Tuesday, November 6.

As for my election night plans, I plan on live-blogging the results via a map of Kentucky as I did back in the May primary. Most everyone with an internet connection can get the number results, but for the visual thinkers out there, I’ll lay out the geography of the results for both the gubernatorial race and secretary of state.

Al Cross (I), the kingpin of political journalism in Kentucky, offers us this week on the Sunday pages of the Courier-Journal his take on the dynamics of the present election and what they mean for Sen. Mitch McConnell (R).

In final days, not much hope remains for Fletcher

Kentuckians are about to vote in a most unusual election for governor.

The two campaigns are going full steam, as if the outcome will be decided in the final hours. Republican U.S. Sen. Mitch McConnell is on the radio in his hometown of Louisville, urging voters to re-elect Gov. Ernie Fletcher.

But all available polls suggest that Democrat Steve Beshear will hand Fletcher a crushing defeat, perhaps with a margin rivaling those of recent Democratic governors whose elections were, in the end, not fully contested: Julian Carroll, who won by 25.7 percent of the vote in 1975, and John Y. Brown Jr., who won by 26.3 in 1979. Heck, Beshear might even get near his old nemesis Wallace Wilkinson (29.6 in 1987) and his buddy Brereton Jones (29.5 in 1991), even though he is running against an incumbent governor who was elected by 10.1 percent, a record for a Republican in Kentucky.

[...]

This confounds those of us who thought the race would narrow as anti-Fletcher Republicans, such as those who voted for Anne Northup in the primary, came home to their party. They don’t appear to be moving. In The Courier-Journal’s latest Bluegrass Poll, GOP voters charted almost exactly the same as they did in September — 25 percent for Beshear and 9 percent undecided.

[...]

Another way Fletcher got elected was also unusual, if not unique. His predecessors got elected by building a political organization of their own; he had organizations handed to him by his Republican colleagues in the state’s congressional delegation. These organizations helped him get elected, but their primary loyalty remained elsewhere. So, when he got in trouble, he lacked a strong political network to guide and defend him.

The lack of organizational help was exemplified by the attitude of U.S. Sen. Mitch McConnell, the state Republican kingpin, who helped push Fletcher into the race. He put too much value on Fletcher’s track record of winning elections and seemed not to ask himself if Fletcher could manage the politically complex job of governor. (Fletcher, asked to explain why he almost ignored the huge crowd at his first Governor’s Derby Breakfast, said, “I have a hard time thinking politically.”)

When the scandal hit, McConnell treated Fletcher as if the Governor were radioactive. When Northup challenged Fletcher, McConnell called her a formidable candidate, but he didn’t follow up with the backing that Northup supporters expected. So, he managed to alienate two elements of his own party, just as he was starting what he has said will be his toughest campaign for re-election.

In the general election, McConnell has been complimentary of Fletcher and helped him raise money. That help, and his radio ads, may help assuage some Fletcherites, but 1995 gubernatorial nominee Larry Forgy keeps railing against the senator and may challenge him next year — a quixotic exercise but one that could cause more damage.

The last big Republican kingpin was Louie Nunn, governor from 1967-71. He ran for the Senate in 1972, when Richard Nixon was carrying Kentucky by more than 300,000 votes, but lost to little-known Democrat Dee Huddleston by 35,000. The usual reason cited is Nunn’s sales-tax increase, but the scales may have been tipped by Republican defections in the old 5th Congressional District, where his administration had problems keeping patronage-oriented Republicans happy, and in Jefferson County, where scars remained from his bloody 1967 primary battle with County Judge Marlow Cook.

Louie Nunn never fully healed those scars, and they cost him. Next year, McConnell is a much stronger bet than Nunn was, but he has suffered fresh scars lately, and Democrats smell blood.

###

One of the more interesting passages above is Cross’s statement that it confounded conventional wisdom in Kentucky that Republicans didn’t unite around Fletcher in the end. Many people expect that McConnell will have a far easier time reuniting his base despite its splintering in this 2007 gubernatorial race. The problem with that scenario is that it doesn’t recognize how dissatisfied even Republicans are with the status quo of their party. Yes, there is that core of the party that’s marching alongside McConnell and Pres. George W. Bush over the impending political cliff like a bunch of lemmings, but there’s also a sizable portion that wants a new direction.

It’s true that this phenomenon is far more discernible on a national level than in Kentucky because Kentucky Republicans tend not to be the brightest bulbs or outside-the-box thinkers. Yet, when you combine the KY GOP faction that will be clamoring for change and views McConnell as an obstruction to that change (however small that group is) with the Forgy/Fletcher that will stop at nothing to tear McConnell down, then you have a formidable opposition.

Enough to defeat McConnell in a primary? Almost assuredly not. Enough to help Democrats defeat him in the general election. You bet.

Make My Mediterranean Flatmate Happy!

Matt Gunterman October 29th, 2007

My Mediterranean Flatmate is very pleased with the many, many entries that have come in so far for the DitchMitchKY 2007 Election Challenge, but to TRULY make her happy (and my home life more pleasant), you’re going to have to send in more and more entries! She takes it as a personal slight if the GimmeGimmeGimme@DitchMitchKY.com mailbox isn’t full and running over at the end of every day!

So, click here to find out how to enter! You only have one more week to send in your prediction on how disastrously Gov. Ernie Fletcher (R) will go down in defeat!

Make My Mediterranean Flatmate Happy!

DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES SPEAKING AT THE LOUISVILLE METRO DEMOCRATIC CLUB IN LOUISVILLE, KENTUCKY YOUTUBE VIDEO.

Jim Pence October 26th, 2007

This was an amazing event, I’ve tried to to condense it to give you a flavor of what occurred. The Speeches lasted for over an hour and the video below has been condensed to less than ten minutes.
Kudos to the Louisville Metro Democratic Club.

The DitchMitchKY Election 2007 Challenge

Matt Gunterman October 21st, 2007

Enter to win a DitchMitchKY mug

Want a free DitchMitchKY mug?

Here’s how to win:

Send your prediction on the results of the November 6 Kentucky gubernatorial election. Be sure to include the spread. As a tie breaker, include the number of counties of 120 that the victor will win.

Forward this information to the following email address:
GimmeGimmeGimme@DitchMitchKY.com

Sample entry:
Steve Beshear, 58%, 99/120.

Be sure to include your postal address in your entry. Entries without postal addresses will not be considered.

Of course, if you don’t want to wait until mid-November for a mug, you can always visit the DitchMitchKY.com store and order one today. Check out their other cool merchandise, as well.

Gov. Ernie Fletcher’s approval numbers continue to fall

Matt Gunterman October 18th, 2007

Not that it really much matters at this point, as this election is done except for the voting, but it appears that Gov. Ernie Fletcher (R) “peaked” a bit too soon in his campaign.

You’ll recall that two months ago Fletcher hit 40 percent approval for the first time in over two years. Last month, his approval dipped to 38 percent.

The Survey USA numbers for October are now out, and they show Fletcher continuing to fall. Currently, his approval disapproval stands at 36/60, worsening from 38/58 in September.

The biggest story in these figures, however, is that Fletcher’s support among Republicans, conservatives, and in western Kentucky is collapsing.

October approval/disapproval numbers for Gov. Ernie Fletcher

October approval/disapproval numbers for Gov. Ernie Fletcher

October approval/disapproval numbers for Gov. Ernie Fletcher

With less than three weeks left until the election, I can only imagine that Republicans are going to be absolutely demoralized by November 6. Why even bother turning out to the polls?

That’s bad news for down-ballot Republicans like Secretary of State Trey Grayson, especially when lazy people like me (who voted several weeks ago) just ticked the straight Democratic ticket box.

Horne: Our work in the next month will be crucial to defeating Mitch McConnell in 2008

Matt Gunterman October 3rd, 2007

A message from Lt. Col. Andrew Horne (D):

Lt. Col. Andrew Horne

I know that many people are extremely focused on the Iraq War and the defeat of Mitch McConnell in 2008. But in the next 5 weeks we can do more to replace Mitch [and maybe a few Congressmen] than we have been able to do all year.

Electing strong Anti-Iraq Democrats is the best way to get us out of Iraq and electing Steve Beshear, Daniel Mongiardo, Jack Conway and all our Democratic Party Candidates with an overwhelming mandate is the best way to do that. Right now the Kentucky Democratic Party is building voter files as never before using a state of the art targeting system that will
revolutionize grass roots politics.

BUT TO MAKE IT HAPPEN WE NEED YOU.

Only grass roots volunteers can make the calls and walk the ground to get the job done just as volunteers have brought so much pressure on Mitch McConnell.

Please contact Lisa Tanner for the coordinated campaign. Lisa can give you the location of one of a dozen call centers across the state [there is one near you] where you can plug in and make a difference, or pick-up walk packets and walk your neighborhood.

I know that focusing on the current races can seem to be far a field from the Iraq debate or Ditching Mitch, but we must fight smart if we are to win this fight. The race for Governor is a key battle in the campaign to take back our country. Just yesterday MoveOn.org announced that it is sending several workers to Kentucky to focus on this November’s races. We can do no less. Steph and I have already walked several precincts in Louisville and are making calls the next five Mondays.

Join us.

Semper Fidelis,

Lt. Col. Andrew J. Horne

“A House divided against itself cannot stand.”

Steve Beshear giving us reason to worry he won’t finish strong

Matt Gunterman September 22nd, 2007

When you’re a Democrat who’s 15-20 points up in all the reputable polls with barely more than a month to go in the campaign, momentum is yours as the state electorate rallies around you as the level-headed candidate in the race, and your base is energized after years in the wilderness, what do you not do?

You do not thumb your nose at your base. You do not deflate them, and — more importantly — you do not deflate them in a futile effort to attract the affections of your opponent’s conservative base. First, that base hasn’t lifted a finger to make your campaign and eventual victory possible. Second, that base isn’t going to vote for you no matter how much you court them. Third, that base and its ideology aren’t the sort of things we need to embrace as a state to get ahead and make up for all the ground we’ve lost in recent years.

What has provoked all the above? Read below (from the Herald-Leader’s Polwatcher blog):

September 21, 2007

Gubernatorial Debate: More on abortion

In this installment of our gubernatorial debate, the candidates ask the questions.

Each campaign crafted their own question for the opposing candidate with two rules in mind: the question had to somehow relate to abortion, our topic of the week, and it had to be 50 words or less. Answers to the questions had to be 100 words or less.

Here’s what Republican Gov. Ernie Fletcher and Democratic challenger Steve Beshear had to say.

Beshear’s Question:

As a legislator, Steve Beshear voted to add abortion restrictions, including: parental consent, a requirement that women be informed of abortion’s physical and mental consequences, and a ban after the first trimester except when a mother’s life or health is threatened. What abortion restrictions have you had enacted as Governor?

Fletcher’s Answer:

Steve, your half-truths won’t allow you to be someone you’re not. You voted for legislation then turned around and called similar legislation unconstitutional as Attorney General. You have a long record supporting abortion, such as when you said you’d oppose legislation like the Partial-Birth Abortion Ban Act of 2003 because it didn’t contain sufficient loopholes for the pro-abortion lobby. I voted for that ban.

Unlike you, I have been a consistent protector of the unborn. The first bill I signed was Fetal Homicide legislation. I support a requirement for informed consent, which was blocked in the House by your allies.

[...]

Now, I realize that good help is hard to find these days, but one has to wonder who and how many hands gave the green light to that question coming out of the Beshear camp. They could have made essentially the same point by framing Fletcher as the radical in the equation. For example, it could have been written so:

Steve Beshear’s record on abortion accurately reflects the complex and balanced views of Kentuckians on this controversial issue. As a legislator, he supported parental consent, expanded counseling for women seeking abortions, and regulation of abortions after the first trimester. Why does Governor Fletcher expect Kentuckians to endorse his extremist agenda?

Instead what we have is the appearance of Beshear trying to out radicalize the radical conservative. Beshear is essentially saying that the place where he wants to be is the radical conservative in the race, and that Fletcher’s credentials as a radical conservative aren’t legitimate. Thus, Beshear has just legitimized Fletcher’s campaign strategy of painting him as a loony lefty, when all Beshear had to do was paint Fletcher as a loony righty.

Bleh. There’s no way the SS Beshear sinks at this point in time, but it well could limp into port.

Fletcher’s slow, slow march of increasing popularity comes to an end

Matt Gunterman September 20th, 2007

Recall that last month’s Survey USA tracking numbers for Governor Ernie Fletcher (R) placed the embattled incumbent’s popularity above 40 percent for the first time in over two years.

Since the spring of 2007, Fletcher’s approval numbers had been slowly increasing by the smallest of increments. The improvement wasn’t what Fletcher needed to pull out a win in November, but at least he and his rabid supporters could wrap their delusions of eventual triumph and vindication in the knowledge that the trend here was in the positive direction.

That’s the case no more, however.

According to SUSA, Ernie Fletcher’s approval falls this month. If one could ever speak of any momentum on Fletcher’s part in this survey, it is now most certainly lost.

At this point, Fletcher’s political coffin has so many nails in it that all that’s left is for the voters to weld it shut on November 6 and toss it into the depths of the Kentucky River.

Ernie Fletcher: approve/disapprove

Aug. 2007: 40/57
Sep. 2007: 38/58

September 2007 breakdown:

Rep.: 57/39
Dem.: 25/72
Ind.: 29/61

WKY: 52/43
LOU: 31/64
NKY: 36/59
EKY: 34/62

Kentucky’s progressive community about to rock America

Matt Gunterman September 12th, 2007

Coming to a newsstand near you: The Nation with Bob Moser’s cover story entitled “Kentucky at War,” which examines Kentucky’s progressive grassroots community and how it’s reshaping the political and ideological landscapes of that state — and doing so outside the rigid, tepid, and unresponsive party structures.

It’s gonna be a hell of a read!

The Nation Cover “Kentucky at War”

CALVERT CITY, KENTUCKY AND THE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES, YOUTUBE VIDEO.

Jim Pence September 12th, 2007

I had the opportunity to shoot video of the Democratic Candidates at Calvert City yesterday and I was very impressed.

  • Todd Hollenbach is, in my opinion, the most improved speaker of the entire Democratic ticket. The more I see of this young man the more I like him.
  • Crit Luallen is destined to go places, she has a real presence, a gift that not many politicians have. This gal can give a good speech and she doesn’t have any baggage.
  • Dr. Dan, what can I say, this guy is the real deal. He has it all!!!
  • Steve Beshear, great speaker and a stand up guy. I can’t wait for him to become governor.

Click on the names to view their videos:

Todd Hollenbach.
Crit Luallen.
Dr. Dan.
Steve Beshear.
Feel free to embed these videos on your sites, but give www.hillbillyreport.com credit please!

Novel Idea for Kentucky: Education & Economic Growth

Terri Whitehouse September 5th, 2007

Dan Klepal, in today’s Courier-Journal reports on gubernatorial candidate Steve Beshear’s plan to create economic growth and educational attainment within Kentucky:

“My goal is to double the number of degree-holders by the year 2020,” Beshear said, adding that would bring the total to about 800,000. “To do this, we must make higher education more affordable.”

Beshear, a former lieutenant governor and attorney general, also has a plan to keep college graduates in the state. It’s called the Kentucky First Scholarship Program and would forgive one year of state loans for every year a graduate works in Kentucky.

The program would cost about $27 million in its first year, a Beshear spokeswoman said.

Those state loans would be granted only after all other available assistance — such as scholarships, grants and student loans — are used. The program would apply to all students, whether from Kentucky or out of state.

Though some data suggests that Kentucky is experiencing a “brain gain,” there is a general consensus that the state, along with others in the region, ranks quite low when it comes to education. Poverty here remains high. (More on reasons why here.) Meanwhile, our sitting governor advocates phony science and appeasing his fellow neocon hypocrites above making real progress in the state.

ERNIE FLETCHER’S TEN COMMANDMENTS IN A STATE OF EVOLUTION!

Gov. Ernie Fletcher (R) and his goons are behaving like bloggers, and that’s a problem

Matt Gunterman August 20th, 2007

I’m pasting today’s Political Notebook from the Courier-Journal’s Joseph Gerth below. It’s especially fun to read today, and he even offers a contest at the end: email him your ideas for doctored photographs of Ernie Fletcher.

Okay, very briefly, let me tell you how I see the world of politics, political journalism, and political blogging evolving in Kentucky.

First, professional political journalists now produce (and will continue to produce in the future) the vast majority of raw factual, objective materials that bloggers use. That’s the case because journalists are trained professionals, they get paid to do what they do full time, and they build up the networks needed to get the information they need to produce their craft.

Second, bloggers — on the left and the right — take the raw material that journalists produce and put it in a partisan context. Now, of course bloggers do upon occasion produce news of their own, but that’s the exception and not the rule. As an aside, I would never, ever, ever want to blog full time. I enjoy my day job too much, which is probably what these journalists would tell you about their experience with blogging, too. There is a real need among political junkies for our partisan context, however. We also spur dialog and provide a platform that allows for ideological issues and differences to be vetted.

In the end, with all this talk in the national media and traditional press about the inherent friction between bloggers and journalists, I think the biggest threat to political journalists, their profession, and trade is apathy among the public and a population that is so disconnected and uninformed from politics that it can’t digest and engage with it at the level of complexity that is needed in an increasingly complex American society.

In short: political bloggers number among political journalists most ardent readers, and political blogging has introduced me to the work of several journalists that I was previously very unaware of. Political blogging and political bloggers, as they both mature as a medium and community, might well serve to strengthen and broaden the impact of political journalism.

That having been said, I want to say that I’m a little bit disturbed by the behavior of Governor Ernie Fletcher (R) and his goons as of late. This altering of the image of Democratic candidate Steve Beshear takes the cake. Why?

As a transparently and viciously partisan and vicious blogger, I can and do say very ornery things about incompetent Republicans in Kentucky. That’s the luxury of being a blogger, especially one sitting a thousand miles away in the quiet seclusion of Yale’s Sterling Memorial Library, where the only thing distracting me at the moment is a beautiful creature standing a few feet away from me and looking at the New Standard Jewish Encyclopedia.

I doctor photographs, like this one and this one. I say things like, “Ernie Fletcher has a vagina up his asshole,” and, “Robbie Rudolph is a redneck idiot with no formal education,” and, “Stan Lee mixing his Christian fundamentalism with our politics makes him no better than a radical Islamicist.” I say these things because there’s a lot of truth to them and I say these things because I can. If you don’t like it, you don’t have to read my blog.

Yet, when our governor and his campaign start behaving like me, I think it betrays a great deal–that we already knew–about why the Fletcher administration is where it is. Ernie Fletcher and his goons never really understood the gravity and responsibility of the office and the unique opportunity they’ve been given. They still don’t understand it, and they never will understand it. But the people of Kentucky do understand it, and that’s why they’ll elect Steve Beshear this November.

Monday, August 20, 2007

Joseph Gerth | Political Notebook
Look before you leap

State Auditor Crit Luallen recently produced an audit mildly critical of the way state tourism funds have been spent, saying that Kentucky needs to develop a better strategic plan for spending new marketing money and determining if the money was spent wisely.

That upset at least one Republican blogger, Jessamine County Attorney Brian Goettl, of Conservativeedge.com, who asked in a headline: “What does LuAllen know about tourism?”

In the blog report, Goettl goes on to ask, “What does LuAllen know about tourism or marketing? What does her audit staff know about it? I would venture to say very little … LuAllen has no business making such pronouncements unless she can demonstrate her competence in the area or show that she relied on competent experts.”

Well. Luallen, a Democrat, points out that she served as tourism secretary under former Gov. Brereton Jones and continued to work on tourism projects as executive cabinet secretary under former Gov. Paul Patton.

During her time in those two roles, the state expanded or built convention centers in Louisville and Northern Kentucky, passed a $100 million bond issue to upgrade state parks and saw the private development of numerous attractions, including the Newport Aquarium, Louisville’s 4th Street Live and Kentucky Speedway, which she said were partly the result of changes she and the administrations she worked for sought in state law.

“The record is there,” she said. “I have a strong background in marketing, in economic development and in tourism and that was one reason we looked at this issue.”

Goettl said in an interview that he would like to review Luallen’s record as tourism secretary more closely before determining whether she and her office are qualified to make such recommendations.

The doctoring is in

Last week state Republican Chairman Steve Robertson said that doctoring photos is fair game in the governor’s race between Gov. Ernie Fletcher and his Democratic opponent, former Lt. Gov. Steve Beshear.

In its first salvo, the party unveiled brochures that have Beshear’s head Photoshopped onto a body wearing a white blazer, a white, open-collar shirt and a necklace, leaning against a roulette table and holding a glass of what looks to be white wine.

“Easy Money Steve” they call him because of his proposal to bring casino gambling, and $500 million annually in revenue, to Kentucky.

But we were a bit surprised by Democratic Party Chairman Jonathan Miller’s response condemning the practice. We figured the Democrats would view the Republican attack as tacit approval for such shenanigans if they chose to do the same.

If you were running Beshear’s campaign, how would you doctor a photo of Fletcher? And if you were running Fletcher’s campaign, how would you follow up the “Easy Money Steve” brochure?

E-mail me at jgerth@courier-journal.com, and we may run some of your responses in upcoming weeks.

Poll dancing

Last week we led with a couple of items about a poll by the Lexington public relations firm of Preston-Osborne, which drew questions on the Courier-Journal Web site from some readers who wondered if we had been “snookered.”

The poll, commissioned by The Lane Report, a Lexington business journal, dealt with issues ranging from the governor’s race to casino gaming and seemed to give Democratic gubernatorial nominee Steve Beshear an edge on several fronts.

The basic argument that we had been “snookered” is that Preston-Osborne was founded by Tommy Preston, a longtime friend of Beshear, and the firm also has a contract to do public relations work with the Kentucky Equine Education Project, which supports casinos.

The fact of the matter is that Preston sold his interest in the firm to Phil Osborne in 1997 and hasn’t been involved in the company since (although he and Osborne are friends and still talk regularly). As far as the KEEP connection, Osborne notes that if he fudged numbers for one client to benefit another, he wouldn’t be in business very long.

I don’t doubt he’s correct on that. But what ultimately led us to run the Lane Report results was the fact that the numbers were right in line with other polling data we’ve seen, which gives them some measure of reliability.
Outta here

I’ll be taking some much-needed vacation over the next two weeks. The column should return Sept. 10 but keep the cards and letters coming. I’ll be checking e-mails while I’m away.

Kentucky in 2007 is the national GOP’s canary in a coalmine

Matt Gunterman August 19th, 2007

With all the tragedy as of late in our nation’s coalmines and with Kentucky’s Senator Mitch McConnell and his wife Secretary of Labor Elaine Chao at the center of a web of money-grubbing and influence-mongering in Washington that has left these many coalmines the deathtraps that they are for the sake of the almighty campaign contribution and a few ticks on the profit margin, I think the analogy of Kentucky’s gubernatorial election this year being the GOP’s canary in a coalmine is a fitting one.

Watch this latest video from Jim Pence of DitchMitchKY and the HillbillyReport. What’s going on in the video with security personnel at the Kentucky State Fair trying to end an anti-war protest (until they’re set straight by the State Police) is fascinating enough, but what’s even more fascinating is what’s going on in the background: all those cars honking in support of the protest.

Recall that thirteen years ago in 1994, on the cusp of the so-called Republican Revolution, Kentucky served the Democrats in a similar capacity. Then the death in March of that year of Democratic Congressman William H. Natcher (KY-02)—who had represented the district since 1953 and who continues to hold the all-time record for consecutive votes in Congress at 18,401—set up a special election for the seat.

I was only 17 years old at the time, but I had been politically aware since the 1988 presidential campaign, when a longtime Democratic activist in my church started hauling me to rallies, the biggest of those being Democratic vice presidential candidate Lloyd Bentsen’s appearance at the Big Tobacco warehouse in Owensboro, today the largest city in the Second District. I don’t remember anything about the substance of what was said there, but I remember the energy, the pomp, and the confidence among the Democrats gathered.

Yet, a mere six years later the entire region of the Second District was seething against the political establishment and its status quo, its distance, and indifference. That establishment was Democratic.

Perhaps that environment is best encapsulated in a scene that has now been immortalized in Michael Moore’s latest film SiCKO. On August 29, 1994, at a rally in Owensboro, “Tobacco Rights Activists” burned an effigy of then First Lady Hillary Rodham Clinton in protest of President Bill Clinton’s health care plan. With a bluegrass band playing the back ground, Stan Arachikavitz, president of the Kentucky Association of Tobacco Supporters, chanted “burn, baby, burn,” as the effigy was doused in gasoline and two women set it ablaze. When asked for comment by a reporter, Arachikavitz replied, “Hillary didn’t last as long as my Marlboro.” The nation was outraged, but there was a quiet satisfaction among many across western Kentucky.

At that rally was Ron Lewis, the Second District’s newly elected Republican congressman. In what had been a shock to Kentucky’s political establishment—if no-one else—Lewis had defeated longtime Kentucky State Senator Joe Prather in the May special election to succeed Natcher. Lewis had won with 55 percent of the vote on a turnout of less than 20 percent. A fundamentalist Christian, Baptist minister, and religious bookstore owner, Lewis had been recruited to the race by Senator Mitch McConnell, who had been narrowly elected to his own seat ten years earlier in 1984 on the coattails of Ronald Reagan.

You may recalled that Lewis’s campaign commercials in the special election had famously morphed Prather’s head into that of Bill Clinton, who was then near the height of his unpopularity. The national GOP considered the technique a success and went on to use it widely in the general election that year. Meanwhile, rumors had circulated in the district that Joe Prather was in Washington to look for a house. Perhaps it was just a rumor spread by the McConnell machine, but it might as well have been true, such was the arrogance and sense of entitlement of Kentucky Democrats of the day.

McConnell went on to recruit Republican Ed Whitfield—who had just as much personal dynamism as Lewis—to run in the First Congressional District in the fall. Both Lewis and Whitfield won; Whitfield became the first Republican ever elected to the First District.

My point with all this is that the political establishment in Kentucky at that time—conservative Southern Democrats—was a bloated and opaque bubble. Its bloated-ness allowed the good old boys to make room for more of their own inside and its opaqueness kept their less-than-altruistic dealings hidden from the masses, but those very same qualities kept the good old boys from witnessing the trouble that was brewing for them on the outside–in the real world.

Mitch McConnell burst their bubble.

Unfortunately, the Kentucky Republican Party that Mitch McConnell replaced the good old boy Democrats with was a political machine that set about inflaming the ugliest elements of Kentucky’s own culture: its racism, its bigotry, its sexism, its churlishness, its phobias, and its anti-intellectualism.

The thing to remember about Mitch McConnell (and this is something that his fellow Republicans in the U.S. Senate are discovering now about him in his capacity as Minority Leader) is that McConnell always has McConnell’s interests first. He’s not at all concerned about the long-term consequences of his tactics and actions on the people of Kentucky. What he’s counting on is that Kentuckians and the state’s chattering class will never fully digest the disaster that was McConnell’s Senate career so long as there’s plenty of pork named after him spread around the state.

Mitch McConnell took Kentucky, a state already at the bottom of the cultural and economic barrel of the nation, and he exacerbated the very social qualities of the place that had kept true progress (making gains on its peers, rather than playing catch up) out of reach for so long. McConnell’s strategy was to spear his political legacy with a wicked trident of slash-and-burn partisan politics, redneck populism, and moneyed corporate interests.

McConnell’s Kentucky GOP is today the political establishment in the state, and you can see what sort of establishment it is by the criminal behavior and incompetence of the administration of Governor Ernie Fletcher (R).

As I write, that Republican establishment is bunkering itself deep beneath the political reality on the ground in Kentucky. While Ernie Fletcher and his minions ratchet up their language of fear on expanded gaming and hate against sexual minorities and while Mitch McConnell continues to cultivate the corrupt environment of campaign finance in Washington that he fathered and stands steadfast behind the reckless presidency of George W. Bush, neither Fletcher or McConnell is making headway among Kentuckians.

Both are indeed consolidating support among their conservative base, but that base is shrinking. Kentuckians are waking up to the reality of what Fletcher, McConnell, and conservatives truly are.

The people of Kentucky are once again seething against their political establishment, but this time there is an energized and organized progressive Democratic party waiting in the wings. Whereas last time when Kentuckians cleaned political house they replaced bad with worse, this time the alternative to entrenched Republican corruption is a Democratic party that offers the hope of change and a better future for us all.

SUSA: Gov. Ernie Fletcher (R) approval hits 40% for first time in over two years

Matt Gunterman August 17th, 2007

The sparkling wine bottles will be popping at Fletcher/Rudolph 2007 HQ today!

The August Survey USA approval/disapproval tracking numbers are out for Kentucky Governor Ernie Fletcher (R), and they show that the scandal-plagued Republican’s approval has topped 40 percent for the first time in over two years (the tracking graph only records back to May 2005).

Why are approval numbers that would scream nothing but political doom anywhere else in the nation sweet music to the politically tone-deaf ears of Ernie Fletcher? Well, after all, it was only a year ago this month that Fletcher’s approval bottomed out at 24 percent. [Keep on the sunny side, always on the sunny side! Anybody got a broom for pedagogically challenged running mate Robbie Rudolph to use as a prop?]

Of course, this month’s upward movement was a statistically insignificant one point (Aug:40/57; Jul:39/57), but all statistics are insignificant to the Fletcher camp, whether they’re the ones showing Kentucky’s sorry state of health, education, or business climate. [Keep on the sunny side, always on the sunny side!]

Where’s Fletcher’s big gain coming from? Among Republicans and conservatives.

In the last month, Fletcher’s approval/disapproval went from 58/39 among Republicans to 62/35. In March of this year, Fletcher was at 46/50 with that group. So, he’s consolidating his party base, but he’ll need significantly more than 70 percent support from Republicans at the ballot box, especially considering that Republican turnout is likely to be somewhat suppressed, to pull off a November win. Republicans accounted for 34 percent of the latest survey.

Fletcher’s popularity this month among conservatives rebounded to 57/39 from 52/46 after plummeting between June and July. Conservatives were 33 percent of this survey.

There was no significant movement among males, females, Democrats, independents, moderates, or liberals.

By region, there was no significant change in western Kentucky, Louisville, or eastern Kentucky.

There was, however, a statistically significant jump in Fletcher’s approval in northern Kentucky, where the governor went from 37/57 to 45/53.

Al Cross: Divided Party Haunts Fletcher

Matt Gunterman August 12th, 2007

Al Cross, veteran political journalist and director of the UK’s Institute for Rural Journalism offers an outstanding post-Fancy Farm round up of the sorry political position of Governor Ernie Fletcher (R).

I’ve included the entire column below, but one of Cross’s best observations is that Fletcher and Senator Mitch McConnell (R) are trying to sell Kentuckians on the scary liberal bit, a favorite of McConnell’s, once again. The problem? It doesn’t have the salience it for the past generation? Why? Because conservatives are the scary ones now. They’re the ones bent on needless, endless, and fruitless war. They’re the ones allied with fundamentalist Christians out to purify the nation of anything they deem unfit in others (they ignore that log in their own eye, you know). They’re the ones who’ve spent the nation into trillions of dollars of more debt. They’re the ones who want to throw science out of the laboratory and our schools’ classrooms for the sake of their fairy tales. They’re the ones who’ve allowed our middle class to waste away for the sake of free markets that are anything but.

CONSERVATIVES ARE SCARY!

And, also, for the record, every blogger — both on the left and the right — who attended Fancy Farm and who went on record themselves agreed that, objectively, by some factor Democratic activists outnumbered Republican activists. The one person who disagreed with us was Bill Bartleman of the Paducah Sun, which is a paper almost entirely unread within the blogosphere because it’s subscription only (and a conservative rag, I might add). Bartleman said it was a 50/50 divide. The blogosphere called him on it, and his only response was that unnamed reporters also agreed with him.

Well, notice in the column below that Al Cross certainly doesn’t.


Divided party haunts Fletcher

Can hard-right issues turn tide?

FANCY FARM, Ky. — The political speaking at the Fancy Farm Picnic is not an educational exercise. It is rhetorical and theatrical, testing politicians’ mettle and wits more than their minds and ideas. But it can help you understand an election.

Last weekend, the Democrats in the raucous crowd didn’t lose a single shouting contest, as they clearly outnumbered Republicans. The turnout showed how Democratic partisans are unified and energized behind the gubernatorial candidacy of Steve Beshear, and how much ground Republican Gov. Ernie Fletcher still has to make up in his own party.

The latest evidence: a Survey USA automated poll, taken Saturday through Monday, showing that most of the Republicans who voted for Anne Northup in the primary probably are for Beshear.

With such a weak and fractured party, Fletcher has to build a new base for this election. He is taking the only route available: social conservatism.

Beshear handed Fletcher a wedge issue by supporting casinos at horse-race tracks and up to four other sites. That plan won’t fit on a bumper sticker; Fletcher’s already does: “Say NO to Casinos.” In politics, simplicity can be a virtue. In a contest of ideas, those who frame the debate and keep it understandable usually win.

Beshear spent much time in his picnic speech defending his plan, continuing Fletcher’s control of the “free media” or “earned media” phase of the race, abetted by wrangling over the special legislative session. Democrats got so antsy about the media angle that Mark Nickolas revived his BluegrassReport.org political blog.

But the anti-casino argument, from a governor who once said he wouldn’t oppose a referendum on the issue, seems unlikely to trump the ingrained, negative opinions voters have about him — in a state where horses are now the main agricultural product and $1 billion a year goes to other states’ casinos.

Fletcher says Beshear’s plan makes the election a referendum on the issue, but that’s an incomplete strategy for victory. When voters approved a lottery in 1988, only 17 of the 120 counties voted against it. That’s about as many as Fletcher would carry with such a limited message.

So, gambling and Fletcher’s exaggerations of its evils are just the point of entry for a broader argument aimed at socially conservative Democrats — that Beshear is a liberal pushed by “liberal media,” a construction often used by Sen. Mitch McConnell, whose handiwork is apparent in the campaign.

In his picnic speech, Fletcher didn’t mention abortion (perhaps because folks who vote on that issue are pretty well informed about candidates’ stands on it) or Democrats’ special-session bugaboo, domestic-partner benefits at universities. He did mention the potent issues of guns and the Ten Commandments, complete with theatrical props, but on both violated the commandment against bearing false witness.

“If he had his way, local communities could take away your guns,” Fletcher said. His campaign said that referred to Beshear’s opinion as attorney general that Louisville could impose a waiting period to buy a handgun. The facts fail to support the charge.

Fletcher said we won’t find the commandments in schools and courthouses because Beshear said they had to go. Wrong again. The Supreme Court said that, and Beshear said (in a case only about schools) the Court had to be obeyed.

If Fletcher gets his facts straight, such arguments may shore up his GOP base, but he will remain a tough sell in the other party. Still, socially conservative Democrats could be persuaded to stay home, making the election more competitive. And the X Factor is Fletcher’s four-year incumbency, something never truly tested in Kentucky. But the national winds are blowing against Republicans, and the fall looks Democratic.

Reflections on the latest gubernatorial race poll

Matt Gunterman August 8th, 2007

Most of you are already likely aware of the latest poll out in the Kentucky governor’s race. If not, check out WHAS political reporter Mark Hebert’s post and analysis. In short, Beshear leads by 21 points three months outside the election.

By now, with all the open talk of how Governor Ernie Fletcher (R) is receiving political life support from Senator Mitch McConnell (R), it’s quite apparent that Mitch was the father of the idea to use the expanded gaming and casino issue as a political wedge in the November election.

And it’s clear that it’s not working. I personally don’t know that McConnell ever thought it would work. Perhaps he was just working with what he had, and in Ernie Fletcher and his dumbass goon of a runningmate Robbie Rudolph there’s not much to really mold and work with.

Sure, McConnell and company can ramp up the rhetoric a bit and expand their campaign against it to television and radio and whatnot, but if that sort of strategy were going to make a difference and tip the balance, we’d have already seen some movement in the polls on the issue.

Why isn’t it working? First, the majority of Kentucky’s population lives within a short distance of a casino in other states. Second, those Kentuckians have seen that those casinos have not brought the social and economic doom and gloom that McConnell and Fletcher claim (I, for one, can say that downtown Evansville, Indiana is MUCH better off with a casino than it was without one). Third, Kentuckians have had more than a decade’s experience with state-sanctioned gambling in the lottery; they’ve acclimated to it.

The dynamics of Kentucky politics are shifting and McConnell’s old tricks aren’t working. For instance, do you actually believe that McConnell anticipated that when he dropped the names of Hillary Clinton and Nancy Pelosi at Fancy Farm last weekend in a derogatory sense that the two women would receive a roaring endorsement and standing ovation from the heavily Democratic crowd? Democrats are proud to be Democrats again. That sort of energy is bad for McConnell.

The real question in my mind is what’s McConnell’s Plan B? Because Plan A is a non-starter. He’s got three months to change the conversation. The current conversation, which he started and which has dominated the campaign is going nowhere. What to do? What to do?

STEVE BESHEAR LAYS OUT PLAN FOR AFFORDABLE HIGH-QUALITY HEALTH CARE IN KENTUCKY

Jim Pence August 7th, 2007

Bellevue, KY (August 7, 2007) – Steve Beshear, Democratic nominee for Governor, today released the details of his comprehensive health care plan for affordable, high-quality health care called, “Keeping Kentuckians Healthy.” The plan, available online at www.SteveBeshear.com, provides a detailed roadmap for moving Kentucky up from its current ranking of 39th among all states in health status.

First, Beshear proposes health care coverage for all children as a first step toward providing coverage for all Kentuckians. This plan includes ensuring that every eligible child is enrolled in the state’s Medicaid program or the Kentucky Children’s Health Insurance Program (KCHIP). Second, it allows low-income families to buy into KCHIP with sliding scale premiums based on income. It also permits every Kentucky family to buy KCHIP coverage at full price so that all Kentuckians can find affordable coverage on the individual market.

“This plan speaks directly to the more than 550,000 Kentuckians with no health coverage at all, including 81,000 children,” said Beshear. “Every parent knows that when a child is sick, you want nothing more than to get them the medical attention they need right away. As Governor, I will take the first step toward providing high-quality, affordable healthcare coverage to every Kentuckian by starting with covering every child in this state.”
Furthermore, Beshear’s “Keeping Kentuckians Healthy” plan allows dependants up to age 25 to remain on their parents’ plans. “Keeping more young, healthy Kentuckians in the insurance pool will lower costs for all Kentuckians,” Beshear explained.

Next, the plan ensures that more small businesses and their employees can afford coverage. Among other things, this portion of the plan explores a “Kentucky Health Care Connector” to offer individuals, families and small businesses a range of affordable coverage, including a sliding scale premium for lower-income families and small businesses. Beshear’s health plan also offers a comprehensive but affordable agenda for small business focused on prevention and chronic disease, called “Healthy Kentucky.”

“It is also critical that we strengthen the Medicaid safety net, especially for those living in rural areas,” Beshear added. “As Governor, I will increase outreach to those eligible for Medicaid but not enrolled, and increase provider reimbursement rates to expand access.”

The “Keeping Kentuckians Healthy” plan also focuses on the outlandish cost of prescription drugs, particularly for elderly Kentuckians. “When Medicaid Part D doesn’t provide enough coverage, it forces senior citizens to pay 100% of their prescription drug costs,” Beshear said. “Many of those seniors have to make a decision each day whether to pay for food or for the medication they desperately need. This must change.”
In 2005, Beshear’s running mate, Dr. Daniel Mongiardo co-sponsored legislation that created the “Kentucky Pharmaceutical Assistance Program” to help seniors in this coverage gap. The bill passed, but funds were never provided to assist senior citizens with this critical assistance. “I will provide the leadership to fund this program so eligible senior citizens get the prescription drugs they need without draining their bank accounts,” Beshear added.

Beshear’s health care plan calls for the development of a Prescription Drug Pricing Website that will allow consumers to find the best possible prices for their medications. It also proposes ways Kentucky can save millions of dollars each year by slowing the growth of prescription drug spending, including implementing e-prescribing, promoting evidence-based drug purchasing and expanding access to discounted drugs.
“Another area long championed by my running mate is patient safety,” said Beshear. “Dr. Mongiardo and I will create an Academy for Health Care Improvement and Cost Reduction” to reduce medical errors, improve patient care and reduce health care costs.”

Finally, a critical part of the Beshear health care plan is reducing the cost of care for all by promoting preventive care. Kentucky has some of the worst rates of obesity and smoking in the country which can lead to heart disease, cancer and diabetes. As Governor, Beshear will establish a Business Roundtable for prevention, partnering with leaders across the state to promote worksite wellness. Further, he will promote healthier communities by promoting walking paths and smoking cessation measures and create innovative preventative care centers.

“Providing coverage to every Kentuckian is not only the right thing to do morally, it is also necessary to make our workforce the most productive and our businesses the most competitive in the country,” Beshear explained. “We need real leadership with detailed plans to make this happen. That’s precisely what I offer you.”

Alessi offers most astute Fancy Farm coverage

Matt Gunterman August 6th, 2007

In today’s installment of his column Political Notebook, the Herald-Leader’s Ryan Alessi offers what in my opinion has thus far been the most astute coverage to come out of the MSM.

He very accurately notes that the Republicans are suffering on two fronts in this campaign: lack of unity and lack of leadership.

On unity, let’s compare the Democrats with the Republicans. First, the centerpiece of the Democratic party camp site featured a giant banner that had all the candidates’ names on it, and every candidate had a team of people in the area handing out stickers and literature. The Republican party camp site, on the other hand — which was right next door to the Democrats — was almost exclusively graced with Fletcher signs. There were no visual signs of unity for the Republicans.

Second, every Democratic candidate stayed on the stage until the end of the event when all the speeches were done. Senator Mitch McConnell (R) was first to bail on the Republicans; he got out of dodge as soon as possible. Governor Ernie Fletcher similarly abandoned ship soon after he was done speaking. Fletcher also, according to Alessi, had no comment on his runningmate’s churlish and humiliating performance. Seriously, folks, it was so bad, I’m sure even the Republicans were having second thoughts about putting this joker Robbie Rudolph in office.

Third, the Republican supporters of the various candidates didn’t even stand together. The Fletcher support was centered in the traditionally Republican corner. The Trey Grayson troop of bigots and homophobes stayed in the back with the labor union guys and gals (skinny little young Republicans that they largely were, they also got bumped around quite a bit by the far more fit and muscular men and women with organized labor. Representative Stan Lee (R) had no support aside from what he brought with him. He had no signs and only a few more stickers. No-one wants to touch the crazy fundamentalist Christian or his “The End Is Near” campaign for attorney general. Agricultural Commissioner Richie Farmer (R) stayed away from the whole mess. He’s quite possible the only Republican who will win reelection this November.

The lack of leadership level runs several layers deep. Senator Mitch McConnell is gradually failing as Senate Minority Leader. He has small victories here and there, but the general trend is that he’s alienating his #2 Trent Lott and his caucus because he’s unable to provide them leadership now that the thing most occupying his mind and his energies is his own political survival.

Alessi offers the most stunning example of Fletcher’s failed leadership in the article below. Richie Farmer is taking the lead on rural health care. Our Republican-led state government is that disfunctional, ladies and gentlemen: the agricultural commissioner is having to bear the burden of addressing pressing issues because the other Republicans are simply too consumed with political calculation for their own survival.

The end result: there is little enthusiasm on among Kentucky Republicans leading into the November election. Fancy Farm was a chance to get themselves pumped up, but it only proved to them very evidently how divided and outnumbered they are.

Mitch McConnell makes the comment in Alessi’s piece that the Republicans were better organized. It’s true, but only because it’s much easier to organize a few hundred Republican activists versus a few thousand Democrats.

Fletcher-McConnell: Next phase
By Ryan Alessi

MAYFIELD –A subplot to watch during this fall’s campaign will be how the patchwork relationship between Gov. Ernie Fletcher and U.S. Sen. Mitch McConnell holds up.

Much is at stake for both Kentucky Republican officials. Fletcher is seeking another four-year term. And McConnell, who is up for re-election next year, risks facing a more powerful, strongly backed Democratic opponent in 2008 if that party takes control of the governor’s office.

In public, McConnell and Fletcher shrug off suggestions that animosity or frustration exists between them.

“Mitch is campaigning with us. We’re glad to have his help,” Fletcher said in a manner-of-fact tone Saturday after the Graves County Republican breakfast in Mayfield.

When pressed on what McConnell’s role will be in the campaign, Fletcher gave few details. He acknowledged that he would take advice from the state’s senior U.S. senator but quickly added that he talks “to all of the federal delegation quite a bit.”

On the topic of whether McConnell — a famously prolific fund-raiser — will be spearheading efforts to collect bucket loads of national donations, Fletcher was equally vague.

“I’d welcome any help that anyone can give with raising money,” the governor said. “I’m sure he will.”

Fletcher noted that McConnell introduced him during a July 17 fund-raising event for the Republican Governors’ Association in Washington, which Fletcher said brought in “several hundred thousand dollars.”

The RGA is expected to buy TV advertisements for Fletcher this fall. Fletcher didn’t mention that McConnell is hosting two major fund-raisers for him in Lexington and Louisville this month. The invitations announce him as the “special guest,” before listing dozens of co-sponsors who already have pledged $1,000 checks.

Among the 135 names on the list for the Aug. 28 event at the Lexington home of Dr. Russell and Jill Travis is Larry Forgy, a former GOP gubernatorial candidate and ardent Fletcher supporter who has criticized McConnell for not sticking up for the governor.

Forgy, who hasn’t ruled out challenging McConnell in a primary next spring, said he’s waiting to see what McConnell will do to promote Fletcher this fall, especially in the senator’s hometown.

“He can be very helpful in Louisville,” Forgy said.

In Louisville, 107 sponsors have signed up for the Aug. 23 event at the home of businessman Todd Blue.

McConnell arrived late to Fancy Farm on Saturday after a hectic and exhausting finish of business in the U.S. Senate last week. He took a few sharp jabs at Fletcher’s Democratic opponent, Steve Beshear, whom he beat handily in the 1996 Senate race.

But McConnell gave a less inspired speech than he had at previous Fancy Farm picnics, partly because he allowed the fired-up crowd to interrupt him often.

After the speeches, the senator offered a pro-Fletcher assessment of the day. “The crowd was better organized on the governor’s side. I think this is an extremely sharp operation,” he said.

McConnell spent much of 2005 and 2006 avoiding talking about Fletcher as the governor’s political troubles boiled over. Although the investigation into improper state hirings led to indictments, including three misdemeanor charges against Fletcher, McConnell’s comments to reporters were little more than the obvious: that Fletcher was going through hard times.

McConnell stayed out of the spring’s GOP primary, saying only that he would support the eventual nominee. The senator and his camp didn’t offer any hints that they were behind Fletcher the way they did during the 2003 primary.

Beshear chose to highlight the on-again, off-again McConnell-Fletcher relationship as the opening line of his Fancy Farm remarks.

“It only took you a year, but I’m glad you finally remembered Ernie’s name,” Beshear said to McConnell.

Difference in opinions

Agriculture Commissioner Richie Farmer is forming a rural health care committee to look at the availability of medical treatment and insurance in smaller Kentucky communities.

“We know there are some projects already out there,” Farmer said. “What we want to do is take advantage of that and see what is working and what will work” in rural Kentucky.

Dr. Kevin Kavanagh, a Somerset physician and chairman of the Republican Party in Pulaski County, said policies to help increase health coverage outside of the bigger cities are crucial. He said he’s been disappointed in the lack of emphasis state officials — including Fletcher, who is a doctor — have put on it.

The Fletcher administration’s strides in health care have mostly come through restructuring Medicaid and stemming its financial bleeding, passing a pilot program to encourage small businesses to provide workers with insurance.

But Kavanagh said he’s frustrated that the administration has tightened regulations to make it more difficult for new hospitals to be built and hasn’t been receptive to critics and whistle blowers inside the public health system.

For those reasons, Kavanagh said, he’s stepping down this week as Pulaski County GOP chairman.

“I don’t feel I can adequately lead the party to champion his re-election,” he said.

He then suggested that Fletcher could learn from Farmer, a former University of Kentucky basketball guard.

“That is a testament to how bad the governor is doing in health care when the agriculture commissioner has to form an ad hoc committee,” he said.

More Picnicking in Western Kentucky

Terri Whitehouse August 6th, 2007

If you didn’t get your fill of delicious food and fiery political conversation at Fancy Farm, there’s still a chance to belly-up at O’bryan’s in West Louisville, KY. O’bryan’s is playing host to the second annual Red, White, & Blue Picnic, the successor to the picnic formerly held at Red’s in Sorgho.

Owensboro Messenger-Inquirer’s Owen Covington reports (no link; subscription only):

For decades, politicians followed up a weekend at Fancy Farm in western Kentucky with a stop at Red’s Fish House of the South in Sorgho, where Thomas “Red” Saltsman hosted a political picnic with free food and speeches.

O’Bryan’s owner Jamie Murphy estimated that the first year of the Red, White & Blue picnic drew about 900 people with candidates for U.S. Congress as well as state and local office taking their turns on stage.

[…]

O’Bryan’s will be cooking more than 400 chickens to provide the free dinner for the event, which is sponsored by the Greater Owensboro Chamber of Commerce and the Daviess County Democratic and Republican parties.

[...]

This year features all state constitutional offices on the ballot, with a contested gubernatorial battle between incumbent Ernie Fletcher, a Republican, and Democratic challenger Steve Beshear.

Fletcher has said he will be in West Louisville for today’s event, and Beshear running mate Dan Mongiardo of Hazard, who currently serves in the state Senate, will represent the Beshear camp, according to the chamber.

As some know, Red’s hosted its own picnic for nearly 50 years, the last one being held in 2004. Owner Red Saltsman died in 2005, and the restaurant closed in 2006. Red’s place was sold earlier this year. With 900 people showing for the Red, White, & Blue Picnic’s inaugural year, O’Bryan’s seems poised to be every bit as treasured as its predecessor.

VIDEO CLIPS OF FANCY FARM 2007

Jim Pence August 6th, 2007

This was my first visit to Fancy Farm and I’m glad I went. The Saturday morning breakfast was out of this world this world. All of the Democratic candidates were there and gave speeches. All of the speeches were great, but Crit Luallen gave one of the best speeches I have ever heard and then she gave a totally different speech that afternoon, two different speeches on the same day, I was impressed.
I didn’t shoot video at the breakfast, but I did get video of the afternoon speeches. I have edited them into short clips in an attempt capture the flavor of the event.

BELOW ARE THE VIDEO CLIPS. CLICK ON THE NAMES TO VIEW THE VIDEO OF THAT SPECIFIC PERSON.

Steve Beshear

Dr. Dan

Jack Conway

Crit Luallen

Greg Stumbo

Weather Is Beautiful. Wish You Were Here.

Terri Whitehouse August 4th, 2007

Saturday’s Courier-Journal offered a great preview to the goings-on at Fancy Farm.

Commenter kilowat1946 was kind enough to offer a brief report for those of us who couldn’t make it:

    it was hot
    Republicans were outnumbered ~20 to 1
    Reception to Sen. Mitch McConnell included lots of booing
    Attorney General Greg Stumbo did, indeed, have the bloodhounds

He also left a link to photos of the event, which can be found here. Thanks for sharing these!