Archive for the 'Greg Stumbo' Category

Greg Stumbo (D) says polling shows him even with Mitch McConnell (R) in Louisville

Matt Gunterman December 3rd, 2007

Outgoing Attorney General Greg Stumbo (D) drops some tidbits about the results of his soon-to-be-released polling on a potential bid against Sen. Mitch McConnell (R). According to Stumbo, his polling shows him even with McConnell in the Louisville area (and, of course, it will be interesting to see how those numbers show Stumbo performing in western Kentucky, particularly, and one would hope he’d be leading in eastern Kentucky) and leading other potential Democrats in a primary. Moreover, any potential personal baggage that McConnell could use in the campaign doesn’t seem to be resonating with voters in the poll.

Mark Hebert of WHAS was the first with this story over the weekend, but Ryan Alessi over at PolWatchers also has an interesting installment.

Stumbo Says He’s Tied With MM in Louisville

Greg Stumbo tells me he’s got a portion of his poll numbers back and they show him in a dead heat with Mitch McConnell in Louisville and easily beating other potential democratic candidates in a statewide primary race.

Before you read on I’ll caution you that I haven’t seen Stumbo’s poll questions or numbers so you can believe what you wish about Stumbo’s perspective on the results. The Attorney General says his pollster hasn’t compiled numbers from the rest of the state but the data from Jefferson County shows Stumbo in a tie with McConnell if the race were held today. That’s not a surprise. McConnell’s job approval numbers in Jefferson and surrounding counties are lower than in the rest of the state.

But according to Stumbo, the biggest news might be that poll respondents were unphased by the pollsters recounting of all of Stumbo’s personal baggage, which would surely come up during a campaign: his refusal to pay child support for a son born out of an extra marital affair; a car crash in which Stumbo claimed he wasn’t driving; the Kent Downey fiasco when Stumbo was Majority Floor Leader in the House. Stumbo says voters were told about all of the nasty things that might be thrown at him in a political race and it didn’t hurt his numbers. The reason, according to Stumbo, is that the incidents are “old news” and most voters have already been exposed to them.

And he says democrats view his office’s takedown of the Fletcher administration as a good thing that has sparked some momentum for their party. That’s why he’s leading Crit Luallen and Andrew Horne by a wide a margin in his poll, according to Stumbo. The Prestonsburg democrat says he’s spent the past couple days talking to big donors from New York City, folks who have maxed out in their donations to the Democratic Campaign Committees. Stumbo says he wouldn’t be doing that if he weren’t seriously considering a run for Senate. What he hasn’t figured out is whether he can raise the money necessary to take on the $20 million man (McConnell) and whether he really wants the change in lifestyle that serving in Washington would bring.

GREG STUMBO AND MICHAEL CASSARO ATTEND AMERICA 2000+ MEETING.

Jim Pence November 28th, 2007

Last night I had the opportunity to attend an AMERICA 2000+ meeting in Louisville. Many thanks to Dr. Ted and Olivia Fuchs for inviting me to attend. I wish I had brought my camcorder, because US Senatorial candidate Michael Cassaro and Greg Stumbo, who is currently exploring a possible senate run, were there to speak.
Michael Cassaro was impressive, is a very good coherent speaker and quick on his feet. Michael Cassaro, if I understood him correctly, is a Doctor and a lawyer.
Greg Stumbo was in rare form and I do mean rare form, this guy can speak. He delivered a very good coherent speech and kept the audience laughing a good part of the time.
Both men answered questions from the audience at length.
Sorry I don’t have video of Michael and Greg, but I did get a photo. See below.
stumbocassaro.jpg

A Kentucky Blogger’s Manifesto

Matt Gunterman November 25th, 2007

This week in the Kentucky blogosphere, mainly on the left but also on the right, controversy erupted around the political jockeying that’s taking place at this very moment to become the Democratic candidate to challenge Sen. Mitch McConnell (R) in 2008.

Whatever the behind-the-scenes reality, appearances are that some people with power and influence in Democratic circles in the state and national party and the state and national blogosphere are lining up behind State Auditor Crit Luallen (D) in an attempt to muscle out other potential candidates from a Democratic primary, namely Attorney General Greg Stumbo (D) and Lt. Col. Andrew Horne (D).

As one insider told me in a Friday-night conversation, it’s generally understood that a few Luallen supporters are out there making “assholes” of themselves and in the process, in my opinion, are doing a disservice to their favored candidate among the state’s grassroots.

So, in the context of the workings of these aforementioned and institutionally recognized assholes, came earlier this week the rather odd coincidence that, when reporting on the freshly released and newsworthily dismal approval ratings of Sen. McConnell, national bloggers Kos of Daily Kos and Jonathan Singer of MyDD, simultaneously chose to highlight the draft movement for Crit Luallen while entirely ignoring the far more official candidacy of Greg Stumbo and the strong grassroots movement to draft Andrew Horne.

Again, whatever the reality, it very much appeared that Kos and Singer were participating in a coordinated effort to paint Stumbo and Horne out of the picture.

Add to the Kos and Singer episode the fact that Liz Fossett, a northern Kentucky native and student at Georgetown University who is coordinator of the Draft Crit website, appears to have been participating in a trolling operation that targeted the comments sections of neutral or non-Crit aligned blogs using the handles Kim, Katie, and Kati.

The principle outlets were this blog, PageOneKentucky, BlueGrassRoots, and Rural Democrat. The principle targets of the trash talking were Andrew Horne and Joe Sonka of BlueGrassRoots and DitchMitchKY, who was accused of being a “bought” blogger.

Now, trolling and vindictiveness in the comments of blogs has been with us since the beginning and I predict it will be with us until the end, but if you are a person leading a draft movement for a candidate, it’s wisest not to participate in that behavior.

When confronted with the evidence of the trolling efforts, Ms. Fossett wrote a mea culpa of sorts in a diary at BlueGrassRoots. While Ms. Fossett admits that the various inflammatory comments did come from a single IP address that is a computer in her family’s home in northern Kentucky, she denies that she wrote the comments. Instead, it is her contention that other people in this household participated in the digital flogging. I myself find this scenario difficult to believe.

I personally want to say that I like and respect all the potential Democratic candidates for this race. I deeply admire the fight within and political conviction of Greg Stumbo and am thankful for the personal encouragement he gave him in my own campaign for county judge/executive in 2006. For me Stumbo appeals to my working class roots, and I believe he has a strong and guiding sense of fairness.

I have never met Andrew Horne in person, but I have many good friends who are his die-hard supporters. Many people in his extended political network have helped in nurturing this blog along and have aided efforts across the state to highlight the miserable record of Mitch McConnell.

I met Crit Luallen at Fancy Farm this August, where she gave two invigorating and rousing speeches, one at the Democratic breakfast and the other on stage at the picnic itself.

All three of these people would make fine candidates against Sen. McConnell.

I believe that if one looks at the field objectively and takes into consideration what is likely to be the political environment and national mood of 2008, then one is forced to admit that, on the whole, none of these candidates stands measurably above the rest in his or her potential against McConnell.

Each has his or her strengths and, likewise, weaknesses. Yet, there are examples from 2006 of Democrats very much like Stumbo, Horne, and Luallen all defeating Republican incumbents in the Senate. In Rhode Island former state attorney general Sheldon Whitehouse (D), whose tenure in that office had not been uncontroversial, defeated Sen. Lincoln Chafee (R). In Virginia former Marine Jim Webb (D), who had never before held elected office, took down George Allen (R), and in Missouri state auditor Claire McCaskill (D) defeated Jim Talent (R).

While none of our potential Democratic candidates in Kentucky are perfect, it’s important to keep in mind that not even the perfect candidate is guaranteed to beat Mitch McConnell, who himself is about as far from perfect as a human being can be.

We aren’t striving for perfection in our candidate. We’re striving to find a candidate and a message that we can rally 50 percent plus one of the voters around on November 4, 2008.

I see no problems if all three candidates run. I think the eventual nominee would be stronger for having gone through a competitive, issue-based primary.

Kentucky Democrats have proven over the course of the last two years that they can indeed run against one another in primaries and rally around the eventual winners.

Horne and his supporters were enthusiastic supporters of Rep. John Yarmuth (D) in November 2006. The 2007 Democratic gubernatorial primary was generally well behaved, and Stumbo was gracious in coming up short of victory there. For Luallen, having to run a competitive statewide primary would help her demonstrate that she can campaign hard to corners of the grassroots that see her 2003 effort as weak and her 2007 contest as far from baptism-by-fire.

In the end it will be much easier for Kentucky Democrats of every stripe to rally around the eventual nominee if each knows his or her candidate was beaten fair and square at the ballot box. It does more harm than good to pressure potential candidates out of the Democratic primary because the supporters of those candidates would rightly feel cheated.

They would rightly feel cheated because allowing that to happen would be an example of Democrats with much individual power and influence stopping Democrats with little individual power and influence from exercising what little power and influence they do have. For the latter category, the ballot box serves as their chief means to express political will.

It’s naïve to think that people with power and influence will ever stop trying to use their advantages to game the system, but the rest of us can better organize to resist them.

And that’s what’s going on.

Calling out Kos and Jonathan Singer: Why?

Matt Gunterman November 20th, 2007

So the new Survey USA numbers come out today showing that McConnell’s approval is tanking, and several national bloggers pick up on what should be a purely happy and schadenfreude-filled story for all parties concerned with the effort to banish Mitch McConnell (R) from the halls of congress.

Unfortunately, many of those big-name bloggers took the good news and managed to alienate needlessly a significant portion of the grassroots in Kentucky with it. Of particular note are Kos of DailyKos and Jonathan Singer of MyDD who ended their posts on the matter with nearly identical lines. To quote Singer, “If you want to help turn up the heat on McConnell, head over to DraftCrit.com — which is seeking to get Democratic state Auditor Crit Luallen to run for the Senate — to get involved.”

Now, everybody here knows that Crit Luallen (D) isn’t the only Democrat considering a run against Mitch McConnell. Attorney General Greg Stumbo (D) and Lt. Col. Andrew Horne (D) are actively doing so, as well. Everybody knows that; it’s been talked about for months now.

And since everybody knows that, that’s what makes the singular focus of Kos and Singer on the draft Luallen movement (which is by no means a bottom-up, grassroots effort; it’s entirely driven by the Kentucky Democratic establishment) a blatant dissing of Stumbo, Horne, and their respective supporters.

DitchMitchKY as a blog has remained neutral among these various Democrats, while pretty much every other major blog has picked its pony. Only nice things have been said about the serious potential candidates here, from Charlie Owen (D), to Stumbo, Horne, and Luallen. No matter who the eventual Democratic nominee is against McConnell, this blog will enthusiastically support him or her. Our mission here is simply to ditch Mitch.

I have my own opinions about which candidate might be best at making that goal a reality, and I have my own opinions about the individual strengths and weaknesses of the potential candidates. I’m keeping those to myself, however, and we are using this platform to inform and edify the people who find their way here.

And, you know what? This nation and its progressives will rally around whichever Democrat is the eventual nominee. That’s a fact. So, Kos, Singer, and the like achieve absolutely nothing positive in thumbing their digital noses at Stumbo and Horne supporters. This race is for Kentucky Democrats to decide. The one thing they did achieve (along with whoever is encouraging them to focus solely on Luallen at this stage) is to tick off a lot — and I mean a lot — of Kentucky progressive activists.

No-one’s saying that honest discussion and handicapping of the candidates isn’t appropriate, but to ignore that the other candidates are in the race is simple arrogance. All supporters of the other candidates are asking is for a little respect for the Democratic process and for their candidates.

And by offering only implicit disrespect, these national bloggers are doing the budding Kentucky progressive movement no good.

UPDATE(Wed. 1:00pm ET): I retract my use of the word “entirely” above when speaking of Crit Luallen’s draft movement being a Kentucky Democratic establishment phenomenon. That’s simply not the case. I should have written “significantly”.

The implosion of former Sen. George Allen (R), the rise of Sen. Jim Webb (D), and what it has to tell us about Sen. Mitch McConnell’s future

Matt Gunterman October 28th, 2007

You no doubt all seen the new Herald-Leader commissioned poll that finds the support of Sen. Mitch McConnell (R) to continue its fast-paced erosion.

In short, it finds that McConnell’s unpopularity is now surpassing his popularity, and that all his potential Democratic opponents are sitting very pretty a year out from the election.

Here’s the quick breakdown:

McConnell v. Chandler: 46/41
McConnell v. Luallen: 45/40
McConnell v. Stumbo: 46/37
McConnell v. Horne: 45/34

What are the most telling findings of the polling?

First, that McConnell never gets above 46 percent support against any of the Democrats. Second, that that’s the case even against Horne, whose inclusion in the polling essentially represents — because of what I suspect is low name recognition across the state — the equivalent of “generic Democrat.” A majority of Kentuckians don’t want to vote for McConnell.

What’s the most inane comment in the H-L article? This one from Danny Briscoe:

[...]

Although Chandler and Luallen showed the same deficit to McConnell, Chandler is better off because he’s already endured barrages of harsh ads during the 2003 election, said Danny Briscoe, a Democratic campaign consultant.

“Ben Chandler’s had millions of dollars attacking him, Crit Luallen’s never taken a punch,” he said. “It’s hard to imagine if she had millions attacking her that she’d be in the position she’s in now.”

[...]

This makes no sense. Then why is Chandler sitting in the position he’s sitting in, even after the millions of dollars spent attacking him? Are we to imagine that negative advertising takes a person a set distance from some base? Did Chandler start professional life at something like 70 percent, and after decades of negative advertising he’s been eroded to 41 percent against McConnell? Because, you know, there’s never been a case in all of electoral history where a challenger defeated an incumbent by surviving (and actually gaining popularity) in the face of his or her rival’s relentless negative attacks.

Where do they find these inane people?

Plus, I’ve heard lots of people argue — and not that I agree with it — that a strength of a Luallen candidacy is that it’s harder to relentlessly attack a woman. I’m not so sure about that. It might be hard to attack them in the conventional sense, but there are ways of undermining people’s confidence by playing on stereotypes, whisper campaigns, and the like.

The thing to keep in mind here, I think, is the case of Sen. Jim Webb (D) of Virginia. In 2006, Webb’s incumbent opponent Sen. George Allen (R) outspent Webb $19 million to $8.5 million.

In June of 2006, six months out from the election, Webb still trailed Allen 56 percent to 37 percent.

So, neither Horne, Stumbo, Luallen, or Chandler is in a bad position.

Stumbo’s potential candidacy against McConnell receives warm welcome

Matt Gunterman October 16th, 2007

From the Greg Stumbo 2008 exploratory committee:

Dear Friends and members of the press:

Today, is the end of the F.E.C. Filling Quarter and, although we do not file a report because we are still an exploratory committee, I didn’t want the date to pass without giving you a full progress report. With so many great friends, we reached our exploratory committee goal!

Wow, those of you who told us that we had strong support were right! Each day, I find another group of people ready to join our efforts to take back our Country and pledge their support to our exploratory committee for US Senate.

I pledged to myself and my advisors that I would never again enter a race without talking first with my friends and supporters across Kentucky - not just the big contributors, but the people who are out in the trenches everyday making a real difference. I have yet to ask one person to support our exploratory committee who has not agreed, and for that reason, we reached our goal for the exploratory committee much faster than I thought possible.

While I have been focused on helping our Democratic ticket win this fall, I am so grateful that we have reached our goal. We are now focused on research and putting together some polling information. I will keep you informed of the progress. While I know Sen. McConnell might report 10 million dollars, it will take him 100 million to defend his dismal record.

It is clear people want a change in Washington.

Thank you for your support, we are about to change Kentucky.

Your friend,

Greg Stumbo

Greg Stumbo (D) responds to Sen. Mitch McConnell (R) denial of health coverage to Kentucky’s children

Matt Gunterman October 4th, 2007

Did you see this news about Rep. John Boehner (R) instructing Republicans to spread lies about SCHIP to their constituents in order to deny the nation’s children access to health care?

Boehner’s simple goal is to win the political battle at all costs, even the lives of thousands of underprivileged children. I know someone else on Capital Hill who will stoop to any level to win: Sen. Mitch McConnell (R).

Kentucky Attorney General Greg Stumbo (D), who’s a potential challenger to McConnell next year, issued the following statement in response to McConnell’s refusal to expand health insurance coverage to thousands more Kentucky children who must now go without:

Greg Stumbo (D)

Attorney General Greg Stumbo:

When I was in the state legislature, I helped create KCHIP - Kentucky’s version of the program. I have to say, I honestly can’t believe Sen. McConnell voted against the nation’s children that way, and any excuse is just that, an excuse. I most certainly would have been for the expansion of the SCHIP program and think it says a lot about our government and leadership when it’s more important to give billion dollar tax cuts for corporations and the wealthy than to insure our nation’s children.

HEY MITCH MCCONNELL, GREG STUMBO AND ZOOK ARE ON YOUR TRAIL!!!! YOUTUBE VIDEO.

KY Democrat Interviews Potential 2008 Challenger Lt. Col. Andrew Horne

Joe Sonka September 6th, 2007

Daniel Solzman of The Kentucky Democrat has a great interview with Lt. Col. Andrew Horne, who has been quite active this summer with Vote Vets, assisting the Iraq Summer Campaign, and continuing to pressure Mitch McConnell on his rubber stamping of Bush’s failed Iraq policy.

Some interesting comments in the interview, such as his discussion on how KY blogs have been able to coordinate with activists, using the wildly successful protests at Bellarmine, Mitch’s apartment and Berea as examples. He also discusses the 2008 race against McConnell, and what it would take to get him to join Stumbo in the Democratic primary next Spring.

Some excerpts:

DS: Did you ever outreach to bloggers on Kos or MyDD during your campaign? Also, do you have any thoughts on the way that blogs have revolutionized politics altogether?
AH: During the campaign I never personally initiated contact directly with any bloggers. I had some contact me and I know my supporters were very active in that regard.

I was and still am impressed with the way the blogs can disseminate information in a way that mobilizes people. However, there are blogs where the participants are simply talking but not getting involved. The important synergy is between the blogs and grass roots that can turn words into passion and then into action. A good example is the Iraq Summer Campaign. The blogs disseminated information across the state and the nation so that a small group of people in Berea, KY knew they were not alone in opposing the war and challenging McConnell to bring a responsible end to it. I have no doubt that some of those 100 people in Berea were there because they heard about 800 people in Louisville, KY or 400 in Boise, Idaho, or one of the other 40+ locations across the nation. That would not have happened without the blogs. The people in Berea did not hear about other events through the traditional media and would not have heard or seen the passion without YouTube and the blogs. I believe this trend will only continue as people who participated in the Iraq Summer Campaign and other similar causes adapt these tactics to their own agenda. I would call it non-linear activism.

…..

AH: If the right race comes around I am not done in politics. Regarding 2008 against McConnell, the encouragement I am getting is humbling but that is a race that should not be taken on lightly. Because of the amount and breadth of support I am getting I will take a very serious look at it, but in the end I will base my decision on what is best for my family and whether my candidacy will be in the interests of the people.

The entire interview is at The Kentucky Democrat.

VIDEO CLIPS OF FANCY FARM 2007

Jim Pence August 6th, 2007

This was my first visit to Fancy Farm and I’m glad I went. The Saturday morning breakfast was out of this world this world. All of the Democratic candidates were there and gave speeches. All of the speeches were great, but Crit Luallen gave one of the best speeches I have ever heard and then she gave a totally different speech that afternoon, two different speeches on the same day, I was impressed.
I didn’t shoot video at the breakfast, but I did get video of the afternoon speeches. I have edited them into short clips in an attempt capture the flavor of the event.

BELOW ARE THE VIDEO CLIPS. CLICK ON THE NAMES TO VIEW THE VIDEO OF THAT SPECIFIC PERSON.

Steve Beshear

Dr. Dan

Jack Conway

Crit Luallen

Greg Stumbo

Weather Is Beautiful. Wish You Were Here.

Terri Whitehouse August 4th, 2007

Saturday’s Courier-Journal offered a great preview to the goings-on at Fancy Farm.

Commenter kilowat1946 was kind enough to offer a brief report for those of us who couldn’t make it:

    it was hot
    Republicans were outnumbered ~20 to 1
    Reception to Sen. Mitch McConnell included lots of booing
    Attorney General Greg Stumbo did, indeed, have the bloodhounds

He also left a link to photos of the event, which can be found here. Thanks for sharing these!

T.G.I.F.

Terri Whitehouse August 3rd, 2007

The DM-KY team has a jam-packed weekend, and while I won’t be attendance at Fancy Farm, my posting, too, will be sporadic. Don’t let that stop you from checking in, though, as I know that I am looking forward to hearing about YearlyKos and Fancy Farm from some of my favorite bloggers. (I’m not just saying that, I promise.)

To kick things off, check out Sam Youngman’s national coverage of Kentucky’s governor’s race and the impact it will have on the 2008 U.S. Senate campaign. I think all this interest will make for a very interesting picnic!

National Fundraising Strategy for KY’s Senate Candidate

Shawn Dixon July 28th, 2007

Ryan Alessi at the Herald Leader is going to run an interview with Greg Stumbo in the paper on Monday. In the mean time, he left a bit of a teaser on the blog at Pol Watchers.

Attorney General Greg Stumbo says he’s aiming to collect $100,000 to evaluate running for the U.S. Senate against four-term Sen. Mitch McConnell next year.

“We’re going to have plenty of contributors,” Stumbo said earlier this week after forming an exploratory committee. “I’m saying to people: ‘Don’t send me a lot of money.’ We’re looking for less than $250” from each donor.

Stumbo said the exploration process will also help him assess national Democrats’ interest in taking on McConnell, the Senate Republicans’ leader.

“This will be a test to see how much out-of-state dollars we can raise,” Stumbo said.

As the Dems choose a candidate next spring (assuming there is a primary) fundraising ability of contenders will weigh heavily on the minds of voters as they go to the polls.

We all know that Mitch McConnell has a lot of fundraising power and a national network of donors. However, as Stumbo correctly hinted, his opponent will also have access to a national network of donors. Mitch McConnell isn’t just unpopular with Kentuckians, most Americans don’t like him either. The national fundraising dollars will pour in, large and small alike, from all across America. Moreover, the DSCC has already made McConnell one of their top 4 targets and has promised to pump money into the race.

Keeping pace with the McConnell fundraising machine of course will be a challenging task, but his vulnerability in addition to the political environment in Kentucky and in America will help generate financial support from coast to coast.

Reviews Are In: Stumbo A Solid Candidate

Shawn Dixon July 25th, 2007

The reviews from national media and blogs are pouring in after Greg Stumbo’s announcement of a possible run against McConnell. They all are quite similar: Stumbo is a formidable opponent to Senator Mitch McConnell and should he run, this would be a very competitive race.

The national media picking up on McConnell’s vulnerability in next year this early in the election cycle is an extremely bad sign for the Senate Minority Leader. First, it helps to destruct the idea that McConnell is somehow unbeatable and will energize voters who are tired of his unabashed support of Bush’s disasterous policy. Second, usually the national media only reports on an incumbent candidate’s vulnerability after a defeat or extremely close race is already certain. In fact, while working forDaniel Mongiardo’s bid for Senate in 2004, we all knew the bid to defeat Jim Bunning was going to be very close months before the national media would even give us the time of day.

From Chris Cilliza at WaPo:

This race has potential despite McConnell’s significant political chops and fundraising capacity.

MSNBC highlights McConnell’s woes:

McConnell, in his fifth term, has taken heat from all sides for sticking with President Bush on Iraq and initially on immigration — before he ultimately voted against the measure. Stumbo will likely look to capitalize particularly on immigration in the conservative state.

My Holiday and some thoughts on Greg Stumbo’s announcement

Matt Gunterman July 24th, 2007

For the record, I leave very early tomorrow morning for a two-week holiday in Kentucky. Yep, just in time for Fancy Farm 2007. And, I’ve also made the post-Fancy Farm reservations for Patti’s, where I will enjoy my annual helping of two-inch pork chops.

Never fear, in my absense, our very own Shawn Dixon will be running the show at DitchMitchKY. He gets a pork chop, too.

I’m extremely happy with the announcement of Attorney General Greg Stumbo of the formation of his exploratory committee to oppose Senator Mitch McConnell for U.S. Senate next year.

That’s not an endorsement from me. It’s just a statement of fact. It’s nice that a potential candidate is making movements like this. We can’t take out McConnell without a candidate.

Quickly, let’s examine what Stumbo brings to the race: statewide name recognition, an established political network, a record of accomplishment, and an aggressive campaign style.

Let me tell you what I think will be the key — THE KEY — to defeating Mitch McConnell in 2008: taking the fight to McConnell.

It amazes me how difficult some in the mainstream media find it to grasp the developing dynamics for next year’s election cycle.

Yes, Mitch McConnell has lots of money and will have lots more, but something on the order of $19 million was outlayed in defense of then Senator Minority Leader Tom Daschle in 2004. And he lost.

The game is not going to be: Mitch McConnell has lots of money and he uses it to demonize his opponent early on.

The dynamics are shifting.

A nationwide network of activists and his enemies are organizing to take out McConnell. The McConnell machine will be matched and likely outmatched. No-one’s coming to McConnell’s defense. He will be on his own, and plenty of people — even factions, like big business — that are normally allied with Republicans are secretly hoping that the money-monger loses this thing.

PEOPLE DO NOT LIKE MITCH MCCONNELL.

And Stumbo will be a good populist candidate. The average Kentuckian likes him. He has his weaknesses, but so did Bill Clinton and he won the state twice. And, speaking of weaknesses, Mitch McConnell has plenty of those, too.

Here’s the deal: Greg Stumbo doesn’t have to be the most popular man in Kentucky. He only has to get 50 percent plus one vote to win this thing. It’s about putting together coalitions that can form that simple majority.

And it can be done.

Stumbo Sticks His Foot in the Water

Joe Sonka July 23rd, 2007

(crossposted at BlueGrassRoots)

Greg Stumbo officially launches his exploratory committee tonight for a possible 2008 run for Senate against Mitch McConnell.

“I am keeping my options open; I am excited about gathering the facts and doing the ground work on this important election,” Stumbo said in an email sent to reporters. “It is time we remind Mitch McConnell that he represents Kentucky not George Bush.”

Stumbo, a Democrat, said he decided to explore entering the race last week after watching McConnell, R-Ky., lead Republicans in an effort to block an up or down vote related to the Iraq War.

“The American People deserve better, the families of Kentucky deserve better, most of all, our troops deserve better,” Stumbo said in a statement.

Well, here’s the first option that we’re presented with. I’ll throw this to the comments for your thoughts on Stumbo and his chances to Ditch Mitch.

This Week in Joe Gerth’s Political Notebook

Matt Gunterman July 23rd, 2007

Here’s some interesting tidbits of information from the Courier-Journal’s Joseph Gerth’s Political Notebook:

About Attorney General Greg Stumbo (D), who’s a potential candidate against Senator Mitch McConnell (R):

Granddaddy Stumbo

Congratulations to Attorney General Greg Stumbo, who became a grandfather for the first time last week when his daughter, Morgan Kidd, gave birth to a girl. Ava Leann Kidd was born Thursday at Central Baptist Hospital in Lexington.

The birth comes just as Stumbo, who ran for lieutenant governor on a ticket with Bruce Lunsford in the May Democratic primary, tries to decide if he wants to make a bid to spend the next six years in Washington.

Former Kentucky Democratic Party Chairman Jerry Lundergan, a close friend of Stumbo, said Stumbo will announce soon whether he plans to challenge Sen. Mitch McConnell when McConnell runs for a fifth term next year.

And about Mitch McConnell’s reelection hopes:

An upset brewing?

So, is McConnell at risk of losing?

The Washington Post’s Chris Cillizza, in his blog, The Fix, has ranked McConnell as the 10th-most-vulnerable senator next year. (For the sake of balance, University of Virginia political scientist Larry Sabato lists McConnell as “safe” for the election.)

Cillizza suspects that what he considers a likely loss by Republican Gov. Ernie Fletcher could prompt a strong Democrat to challenge McConnell. But he’s not too impressed by the current field.

“The names being bandied about at the moment — businessmen Charlie Owen and Bruce Lunsford, state Attorney General Greg Stumbo, and unsuccessful House candidate Andrew Horne — aren’t exactly the A-team,” he writes.

He suggests Chandler might be the answer to Democratic prayers but acknowledges that Chandler isn’t likely to give up a safe House seat to challenge the Senate minority leader.

The Notebook thinks it’s more likely that Chandler would wait until 2010 and challenge Bunning — that is, if Bunning, who would be 79 at the time of the election, chooses to run again.

The Bridge: Chatter is that Charlie Owen will announce soon

Matt Gunterman June 12th, 2007

Ted Schlecter over at The Bridge is hearing chatter that Charlie Owen will announce his candidacy against Senator Mitch McConnell for 2008 sometime in the next month.

Ted is also speculating that there will be a Democratic primary, which I assume is Ted’s way of saying that Attorney General Greg Stumbo will enter the race. I’m all for a healthy and friendly primary because it keeps the Democratic candidates in the spotlight and whoever wins the primary will, of course, come away with the momentum and aura of that win. Stumbo proved in this year’s Democratic primary that he’s a class act, and so is Owen.

Also, Ted highlights Mark Hebert’s report on the latest scandal to hit the Fletcher administration: bid rigging and the steering of state highway contracts in the Transportation Department to Fletcher’s political supporters.

Stumbo Considers Challenging McConnell

Joe Sonka June 8th, 2007

Big news during today’s taping of WKYT’s “Kentucky Newmakers” program that will air tomorrow at 11:00 AM. Attorney General Greg Stumbo announced that he is seriously considering challenging Mitch McConnell for his Senate seat in 2008. He says that he will decide whether he will run in the next month or two.

Do we have a challenger???

(crossposted at BlueGrassRoots)

Good News on UK Domestic Partner Benefits

Joe Sonka June 5th, 2007

Aurthur Leonard at New York Law School has an excellent discussion concerning the recent AG opinion on the compatibility of UK and UL’s domestic partnership benefits with 2004’s horrific Marriage Amendment to the KY constitution. The good news is that while the benefits appear unconstitutional, the assistant AG James Herrick states that UK and UL would only have to slightly alter the wording of the benefits plan to make it constitutional.

KY Rep. and AG candidate Stan Lee, of course, freaked out. He requested the opinion in the first place and responded that the expansion of eligibility for benefits “could be a tremendous waste of resources”.

Right.

What he meant to say was “I have doubts about my own sexuality and therefore I put up an over-dramatic front of homophobia” “I hate gay people”.

I wonder how Mitch feels about all this.

Nooooo…I didn’t mean that.

(crossposted at BlueGrassRoots)

Attorney General Greg Stumbo would be a formidable opponent for Mitch McConnell

Matt Gunterman June 5th, 2007

Ted Schlecter over at The Bridge is reporting that his sources close to the Stumbo family that Attorney General Greg Stumbo is seriously considering a run against Senator Mitch McConnell.

I’m sure the right-wingers will dismiss a Stumbo candidacy outright because of his emphatically complex personal life, but that would be sheer idiocy on their part, but those folks are good at sheer idiocy. Mitch McConnell has a complex private life, too, and now that he’s Senator Minority Leader, it’s more of an issue than ever before. There’s all kinds of interesting skeletons in the Mitch McConnell closet.

Let me tell you that Greg Stumbo was pretty much the only Democratic statewide office holder who consistently offered me encouragement and support when I ran for judge/executive last year at the age of 29. I don’t think it mattered to Stumbo whether I had a chance in hell of winning or not (I lost by 48 votes of some 3,700 cast in the end). He understood that the experience of running and the willingness to fight the good fight was the most important element of the whole equation.

Stumbo understands the importance of taking chances. There’s no such thing as failure; there’s only Plan B. When Stumbo announced that he was running on a ticket with Bruce Lunsford, I too grimaced, but I understood it when he explained his reasoning: sometimes you’ve just got to take the opportunity and see what happens.

Stumbo would run well in western Kentucky. He’s extremely popular among organized labor in that area of the state. I don’t know if he’d necessarily win western Kentucky, but if he keeps it close enough, he won’t have to to win the whole race.

Stumbo’s a fighter, and if he throws his hat into this ring, I’d return the support he gave me.