Breaking: Lunsford Within Margin of Error

Shawn Dixon September 23rd, 2008

New poll by Survey USA has Bruce Lunsford within 3 points of Mitch McConnell, which is within the poll’s margin of error.

I’ll write more about this later, have to run to class!

UPDATE:

Of the more interesting findings, it appears that Kentuckians are rightly laying the problems of the financial crisis at McConnell’s doorstep.

Six in 10 voters tell SurveyUSA they are focused on the economy, ahead of all other issues. Among voters focused on the economy, McConnell went from a six-point lead six weeks ago to a nine-point deficit in the latest poll, a 15-point swing to Lunsford.

What’s worse for McConnell, his numbers aren’t tied to McCain’s numbers. This poll suggests that Kentuckians are willing to split their ticket this fall.

To put these numbers into context, it is critical to note that the identical survey that polled Kentucky voters on the US Senate race also asked about the Presidential contest. The same respondents rethinking McConnell are sticking with John McCain. McCain, who led by 18 points six weeks ago, leads by 19 points in the latest poll.

It appears that as we close in on the final weeks of the campaign and people start paying attention, they don’t like what they see in Mitch McConnell. These numbers only make sense in light of the unfavorable approval ratings that we’ve been seeing for McConnell for some time now.

This race will likely be very close.

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